"Go small or go home." [Atlanta] --Simon

You can do both!

"Already one down... if I am going to gamble, I might as well pick..." [Las Vegas] --Stollak

Craps.

"When else can you choose Cleveland and feel safe?" [Cleveland] --Jaffa Jr

Safe? Cleveland is not safe. You know what's safe...?

"Safest pick of the week. And I'm a safe guy." [LA Rams] --Silver~C

People. It's very simple. Stay on the bandwagon. The most popular pick has won two weeks in a row and yet only 25% of the pool remains undefeated. Sometimes you should embrace the system instead of trying to beat it.

"Either rise from the ashes or going down in a blaze of glory." [Detroit] --Vogel

Or, you know, you do you. That can sometimes work too.

"If Steelers lose, can I surrender and get $50 back?" [Pittsburgh] --Khouri

No, sorry, this isn't quirky blackjack. You are all in, win or lose. But remember, you're not dead yet. All you need to do is pick 20 winners in a row and you will win some portion of the Booby Prize. Or you could even win the whole thing. Last year's winners all had two losses, so it's not over yet.

With 60ish players already staring at two losses, this might be a good time to mention that the Second Chance Pool starts Christmas Weekend. So if you can't pick early-season winners, maybe Santa can help you pick late-season winners (and playoff winners).